PLD

Prologis Seasonal Stock Pattern
$139.43 +1.92%

28 years of seasonal data. AI scored daily.

Best Month Dec +4.9% 57% win rate
Worst Month Feb -1.1% 48% win rate
AI Bias LONG 95.0 84.5% win prob
History 28 yrs Updated daily

Prologis (PLD) has historically averaged +4.9% in Dec with a 57% win rate over 28 years of data, making Dec the best month to buy PLD stock. Feb is the weakest month, averaging -1.1%. TradeWave's AI currently assigns PLD a long seasonal bias with a score of 95.0 and 84.5% win probability, based on 28 years of comparable seasonal windows.

Next 30 Days for PLD: Seasonal Outlook

Over the last 28 years, buying PLD on this calendar date (2026-07-04) and holding through 2026-08-03 produced +2.45% on average, with 17 winning years and 11 losing years. TradeWave's AI derives a LONG bias for this setup.

Midterm (Year 2) only (7 samples)
PLD has averaged +3.96% in this 30-day window during midterm years (4 up, 3 down).
That's +1.51 pts vs the all-years average of +2.45%. 2026 is a midterm year.
AI Score: 95.0 LONG bias 84.5% Model Win Prob +3.69% Predicted +8.29% Peak

Best historical year in this window: 2010 (+15.7%). Worst: 2011 (-10.9%). This synthetic 30-day setup is re-scored daily.

See PLD in TradeWave →

Monthly Seasonality for PLD

Average monthly return from 1998 to 2026. Green bars are positive months, red bars are negative. The highlighted bar is PLD's historically strongest month.

+4.9% 0% -4.9% +1.0% Jan -1.1% Feb +3.7% Mar +1.6% Apr -0.3% May +0.7% Jun +2.6% Jul -0.3% Aug +0.2% Sep +0.7% Oct +1.4% Nov +4.9% Dec

Based on 28 years of data (1998 to 2026). Best month is Dec, highlighted in gold.

PLD Monthly Performance Stats

All 12 months, based on 28 years of historical price data.

Month Avg Return Win Rate Best Year Worst Year
Jan +1.04% 62% +21.3% -30.1%
Feb (worst) -1.07% 48% +10.4% -24.5%
Mar +3.66% 76% +35.6% -8.7%
Apr +1.64% 66% +32.9% -20.2%
May -0.30% 52% +8.4% -16.8%
Jun +0.71% 62% +9.7% -13.8%
Jul +2.61% 64% +12.6% -3.6%
Aug -0.35% 61% +11.6% -20.8%
Sep +0.17% 54% +11.5% -17.7%
Oct +0.69% 50% +31.5% -44.0%
Nov +1.41% 71% +13.1% -28.7%
Dec (best) +4.88% 57% +78.1% -13.8%

PLD: All Years vs Midterm (Year 2) Only

2026 is a midterm (year 2) year in the 4 year presidential cycle. The same monthly seasonality recomputed using only prior midterm (year 2) years (1998, 2002, 2006, 2010, 2014, 2018, 2022) often tells a very different story. Months where the cycle phase diverges most from the long-run average are where seasonal edges either compound or evaporate.

Month All Years Avg Midterm (Year 2) Avg Difference Sample (Phase)
Jan +1.04% -0.26% -1.30 pts 7 yr
Feb -1.07% -0.51% +0.56 pts 7 yr
Mar +3.66% +5.54% +1.88 pts 7 yr
Apr +1.64% -0.27% -1.91 pts 7 yr
May -0.30% -3.58% -3.28 pts 7 yr
Jun +0.71% +0.24% -0.47 pts 7 yr
Jul +2.61% +2.36% -0.25 pts 7 yr
Aug -0.35% -0.60% -0.25 pts 7 yr
Sep +0.17% -0.59% -0.76 pts 7 yr
Oct +0.69% +1.90% +1.21 pts 7 yr
Nov +1.41% +3.29% +1.88 pts 7 yr
Dec +4.88% -0.63% -5.51 pts 7 yr

Highlighted rows show months where midterm (year 2) years diverge by more than 3 percentage points from the long-run average. Sample sizes are small by design. Each cycle phase contains roughly one year in four of historical data.

Beyond Monthly Averages: Precision Seasonal Windows

Monthly averages show you the general direction. TradeWave goes further, scanning up to 98 years of daily price data to detect specific recurring date-range windows where PLD has shown the strongest historical consistency.

53 Active patterns right now
68d Window length (top pattern)
85% AI win probability

TradeWave has identified 53 precise windows active for PLD right now, each with specific entry and exit dates and an AI-scored probability. These aren't broad monthly trends. They're exact date ranges backed by decades of historical data.

PLD in Midterm (Year 2)

2026 is classified as midterm (year 2) in the 4 year presidential cycle. Historically, PLD has averaged +7.3% returns in this cycle phase.

Post-Election
+25.5%
Midterm
+7.3%
Pre-Election
+15.6%
Election
+11.7%

Key Dates for PLD

Next Earnings
2026-07-16
12 days away
Best Month to Buy
Dec
Avg +4.88%, 57% win rate
Worst Month
Feb
Avg -1.07%

PLD Seasonal Pattern FAQ

Is PLD a good stock to buy right now?

Over the last 28 years, PLD has averaged +2.45% in the 30 days after 2026-07-04, winning 17 of 28 completed years. TradeWave's AI derives a LONG bias for this setup with an AI Score of 95.0 and 84.5% model win probability. This is seasonal pattern analysis, not a buy recommendation.

What is the best month to buy Prologis stock?

Based on 28 years of historical data, Dec is the best month to buy Prologis (PLD) stock, with an average return of +4.9% and a 57% win rate.

What is the worst month for PLD stock?

Feb is historically the worst month for Prologis (PLD) stock, with an average return of -1.1% and a 48% win rate over 28 years of data.

Should I buy or sell PLD stock?

TradeWave's AI seasonal analysis currently shows a long bias for PLD over the next 30 days, with an AI score of 95.0. This is based on how PLD has historically performed during this same calendar window across 28 prior years. Seasonal patterns are one factor among many and should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.

Does Prologis follow seasonal patterns?

Yes. Prologis (PLD) shows measurable seasonal tendencies across 28 years of historical data. The strongest month is Dec (+4.9% average return, 57% win rate) and the weakest is Feb (-1.1% average). These patterns are driven by factors like earnings cycles, tax-loss harvesting, fund rebalancing, and investor sentiment shifts. TradeWave's AI scores these patterns daily and identifies the highest-probability seasonal windows.

What is PLD's stock forecast for 2026?

For the current seasonal window, TradeWave's AI projects a long bias for PLD with +2.5% average historical return over the next 30 days. 2026 is a midterm (year 2) year in the presidential election cycle, which can amplify or dampen seasonal effects. See the election cycle section above for 2026-specific analysis.

Does PLD follow election cycle patterns?

Yes, the cycle phase changes the picture for PLD. Across all years, PLD's strongest month is Dec (+4.9% avg). Looking only at prior midterm (year 2) years (7 samples: 1998, 2002, 2006, 2010, 2014, 2018, 2022), the biggest divergence is Dec, which averages -0.6% in this cycle phase versus +4.9% across all years (a -5.5 point shift). The strongest cycle-phase tailwind is Nov at +3.3% versus +1.4% all-years. 2026 is a midterm (year 2) year, so the cycle-filtered numbers are the more relevant guide right now.

How has PLD performed historically by month?

Over 28 years of data, Prologis (PLD) shows distinct monthly patterns. The best month is Dec (+4.9% avg, 57% win rate) and the worst is Feb (-1.1% avg, 48% win rate). The full monthly breakdown with win rates, best and worst individual years, and election-cycle filters is shown in the tables above.

See the full seasonal analysis for PLD

AI scored patterns, entry and exit windows, historical backtests, and daily picks. Free tier available.

Related Seasonal Patterns

Compare PLD's seasonal trends with similar stocks. Prologis's best month is Dec (+4.9% avg). See how these related tickers compare.

View all 100 seasonal patterns →

Seasonal analysis, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Last updated 2026-07-04