Every daily pick logged in public before the market opens - the seasonal pattern, the win probability, the target. Then the outcome, wins and losses alike. We would rather be audited than believed.
The AI publishes a predicted gain for every pick before the window opens. A pick wins when the move reaches that predicted gain inside the window - the prediction did what it said - or when it closes profitable. Held to close is shown beside it as the stricter read: the share still in profit at the window close. Every row keeps its realized close return visible, so a pick that hit its target and then faded shows both facts.
Every pick was published on X (@TradeWave) before the market opened, timestamp and all - check any call against the tape. Educational research, not investment advice. How these numbers are computed: methodology.
Picks whose seasonal window has not closed yet. One that has already reached its predicted gain counts as a win now - the prediction is proven. The rest are pending and count for nothing until they close.
Windows run roughly 19 to 30 days. Current return is a mid-pattern snapshot, not a result. The peak shows the best paper gain reached so far.
| Date Flagged | Ticker | Direction | Days | Win Prob | Predicted Return | Current Return | Peak | Success |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 | BR | Long | 30 | 84.5% | +5.1% | +5.8% live | +10.7% | ✓ |
| 2026-06-29 | RMD | Long | 30 | 84.5% | +5.7% | -1.7% live | +11.1% | ✓ |
| 2026-07-02 | NUE | Long | 23 | 84.5% | +5.6% | +12.2% live | +12.6% | ✓ |
| 2026-07-05 | STLD | Long | 19 | 84.5% | +6.1% | +10.6% live | +11.8% | ✓ |
| 2026-07-06 | MS | Long | 24 | 84.5% | +5.3% | +0.7% live | +8.6% | ✓ |
| 2026-07-07 | BX | Long | 23 | 84.5% | +8.0% | +3.8% live | +6.1% | -- |
| 2026-07-08 | AEE | Long | 21 | 84.5% | +3.9% | -0.3% live | +0.6% | -- |
| 2026-07-09 | KKR | Long | 16 | 84.5% | +4.7% | +5.5% live | +11.7% | ✓ |
| 2026-07-13 | CSGP | Long | 12 | 84.5% | +5.1% | -1.8% live | +9.2% | ✓ |
| 2026-07-14 | BRO | Long | 26 | 84.5% | +4.2% | -3.0% live | +3.1% | -- |
| 2026-07-15 | WDC | Short | 11 | 84.5% | +3.9% | +4.3% live | +22.5% | ✓ |
| 2026-07-16 | ZTS | Long | 30 | 84.5% | +4.2% | +0.9% live | +4.0% | -- |
| 2026-07-17 | SWK | Long | 10 | 84.5% | +3.9% | +0.3% live | +0.7% | -- |
| 2026-07-19 | SWKS | Short | 20 | 84.5% | +3.9% | -2.1% live | -0.6% | -- |
| 2026-07-20 | ADM | Long | 20 | 84.5% | +3.5% | +0.6% live | +2.9% | -- |
| 2026-07-21 | TMUS | Long | 12 | 84.5% | +4.2% | -6.1% live | +2.3% | -- |
| 2026-07-22 | VLO | Long | 18 | 84.5% | +3.8% | -3.6% live | +1.4% | -- |
| 2026-07-23 | APH | Long | 29 | 84.5% | +3.8% | -1.4% live | -- | -- |
| 2026-07-24 | BAX | Short | 12 | 81.9% | +3.1% | -4.1% live | -- | -- |
Resolved windows, scored at the actual close - no peak-cherry-picking. Every row, win (W) or loss (L), is in the win rate above. Click any pick to open the exact pattern it was scored on.
| Date Flagged | Ticker | Direction | Days | Win Prob | Predicted Return | Actual Return | Peak | Success | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | ON | Long | 10 | 84.5% | +4.1% | -11.4% | -2.4% | ✗ | L |
| 2026-07-04 | EPAM | Long | 17 | 84.5% | +6.3% | -2.4% | +3.8% | ✗ | L |
| 2026-07-03 | AMD | Long | 12 | 84.5% | +5.9% | +3.2% | +10.9% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-07-01 | INTC | Long | 20 | 84.5% | +5.8% | -24.5% | -6.4% | ✗ | L |
| Date Flagged | Ticker | Direction | Days | Win Prob | Predicted Return | Actual Return | Peak | Success | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | BLDR | Long | 27 | 84.5% | +6.0% | -20.5% | +2.5% | ✗ | L |
| 2026-06-24 | MPWR | Long | 27 | 84.5% | +5.9% | -2.8% | +6.0% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-06-23 | ALGN | Long | 30 | 84.5% | +5.7% | -3.2% | +9.9% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-06-22 | INTU | Long | 28 | 84.5% | +7.5% | +10.0% | +13.1% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-06-19 | EPAM | Long | 30 | 84.5% | +6.6% | +16.6% | +19.5% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-06-18 | LEN | Long | 24 | 84.5% | +3.7% | -2.6% | +11.0% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-06-17 | GNRC | Long | 29 | 84.5% | +5.2% | -18.9% | +11.6% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-06-16 | PTC | Long | 29 | 84.5% | +4.6% | +9.2% | +11.3% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-06-15 | KKR | Long | 30 | 84.5% | +4.2% | +0.7% | +4.2% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-06-12 | AMT | Long | 28 | 84.5% | +4.5% | -12.0% | +0.3% | ✗ | L |
| 2026-06-11 | EW | Long | 29 | 84.5% | +3.9% | +8.9% | +12.0% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-06-09 | TXT | Short | 21 | 84.5% | +3.8% | +1.4% | +6.0% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-06-08 | ORCL | Long | 29 | 81.9% | +3.1% | -32.7% | +3.2% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-06-05 | WDC | Short | 19 | 84.5% | +6.8% | -27.3% | +16.4% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-06-04 | TSLA | Long | 20 | 84.5% | +5.7% | -4.4% | +0.2% | ✗ | L |
| 2026-06-03 | LRCX | Short | 10 | 84.5% | +4.9% | -9.7% | +9.5% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-06-02 | TER | Short | 23 | 84.5% | +4.5% | -15.6% | +7.9% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-06-01 | AMD | Short | 23 | 84.5% | +5.5% | -6.9% | +15.3% | ✓ | W |
| Date Flagged | Ticker | Direction | Days | Win Prob | Predicted Return | Actual Return | Peak | Success | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 | DXCM | Long | 26 | 84.5% | +6.3% | -4.5% | +9.1% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-05-22 | AVGO | Long | 17 | 84.5% | +4.9% | -4.3% | +19.4% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-05-21 | TSLA | Long | 25 | 84.5% | +6.2% | +1.7% | +10.3% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-05-20 | AXON | Long | 28 | 84.5% | +5.5% | +5.9% | +29.1% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-05-19 | INTU | Long | 30 | 84.5% | +5.4% | -33.8% | -3.1% | ✗ | L |
| 2026-05-18 | APTV | Long | 23 | 84.5% | +5.1% | +27.5% | +44.4% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-05-15 | EXPE | Long | 24 | 84.5% | +3.4% | +4.0% | +6.6% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-05-14 | BBY | Short | 10 | 84.5% | +3.9% | -11.0% | -0.9% | ✗ | L |
| 2026-05-13 | MU | Long | 20 | 84.5% | +4.8% | +30.2% | +23.4% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-05-12 | GNRC | Long | 29 | 84.5% | +6.2% | -2.0% | +8.4% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-05-11 | SMCI | Long | 25 | 84.5% | +9.1% | +17.7% | +41.4% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-05-08 | MPWR | Long | 28 | 84.5% | +4.6% | -10.4% | +3.7% | ✗ | L |
| 2026-05-07 | NOW | Long | 19 | 84.5% | +6.3% | +8.6% | +20.4% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-05-06 | BX | Long | 30 | 84.5% | +4.7% | -6.0% | +1.9% | ✗ | L |
| 2026-05-05 | TER | Long | 24 | 81.9% | +2.8% | +13.4% | +15.7% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-05-04 | ON | Long | 29 | 84.5% | +3.7% | +17.4% | +25.3% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-05-01 | AMD | Long | 30 | 84.5% | +6.7% | +51.3% | +56.4% | ✓ | W |
| Date Flagged | Ticker | Direction | Days | Win Prob | Predicted Return | Actual Return | Peak | Success | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | AVGO | Long | 27 | 84.5% | +6.4% | +5.5% | +10.6% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-04-29 | NCLH | Short | 22 | 84.5% | +5.8% | +18.7% | +16.7% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-04-28 | LRCX | Long | 29 | 84.5% | +3.9% | +22.9% | +28.5% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-04-27 | NVDA | Long | 30 | 84.5% | +5.6% | +2.1% | +13.6% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-04-24 | FITB | Short | 25 | 84.5% | +3.7% | +5.8% | +2.1% | -- | W |
| 2026-04-23 | BEN | Short | 13 | 81.9% | +3.4% | -13.3% | +3.3% | ✗ | L |
| 2026-04-22 | EXPD | Long | 20 | 84.5% | +4.0% | +3.4% | +0.9% | -- | W |
| 2026-04-21 | PCG | Short | 29 | 84.5% | +3.6% | +6.0% | +5.6% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-04-20 | NXPI | Long | 30 | 84.5% | +5.0% | +43.6% | +13.5% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-04-17 | ALB | Long | 30 | 84.5% | +6.3% | -18.5% | -6.5% | ✗ | L |
| 2026-04-16 | MCK | Long | 30 | 84.5% | +4.3% | -10.1% | +1.2% | ✗ | L |
| 2026-04-10 | CAH | Short | 27 | 83.7% | +6.1% | +13.9% | +8.4% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-04-09 | SPGI | Short | 28 | 83.7% | +5.7% | +0.3% | +5.0% | -- | W |
| 2026-04-08 | PHM | Long | 26 | 83.7% | +5.8% | -3.9% | +11.1% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-04-07 | CSGP | Long | 21 | 83.7% | +6.5% | -12.0% | -0.1% | ✗ | L |
| 2026-04-06 | FCX | Long | 12 | 83.7% | +6.2% | +14.4% | +15.2% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-04-03 | TT | Long | 28 | 84.5% | +4.4% | +13.9% | +15.6% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-04-02 | HAS | Long | 25 | 84.5% | +4.2% | +1.2% | +4.7% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-04-01 | AXP | Long | 19 | 84.5% | +4.8% | +10.9% | +14.3% | ✓ | W |
| Date Flagged | Ticker | Direction | Days | Win Prob | Predicted Return | Actual Return | Peak | Success | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | UAL | Short | 12 | 84.5% | +7.7% | -13.1% | -1.7% | ✗ | L |
| 2026-03-30 | EQT | Long | 27 | 84.5% | +10.5% | -12.8% | -2.9% | ✗ | L |
| 2026-03-27 | EME | Long | 29 | 84.5% | +5.3% | +13.8% | +15.3% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-03-26 | NUE | Long | 19 | 84.5% | +4.0% | +14.8% | +14.7% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-03-24 | J | Long | 29 | 84.5% | +4.7% | -0.3% | +2.4% | ✗ | L |
| 2026-03-23 | EOG | Long | 26 | 84.5% | +5.7% | -7.4% | +8.6% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-03-20 | NOC | Long | 30 | 84.5% | +4.2% | -8.2% | -2.2% | ✗ | L |
| 2026-03-19 | FTNT | Long | 21 | 84.5% | +4.7% | +0.7% | +3.6% | -- | W |
| 2026-03-18 | COP | Long | 28 | 84.5% | +4.9% | +1.9% | +12.0% | ✓ | W |
| 2026-03-17 | NEM | Long | 29 | 84.5% | +7.0% | +5.7% | +10.7% | ✓ | W |
Get tomorrow's pick before the market opens - logged here either way