The TradeWave Ledger

Every daily pick logged in public before the market opens - the seasonal pattern, the win probability, the target. Then the outcome, wins and losses alike. We would rather be audited than believed.

122
Total Picks
74%
Win Rate
Reached the AI's predicted gain in the window, or closed profitable
53%
Held to Close
Still in profit when the window closed
3.9%
Median Return
Exit at the target when hit, else at the window close - winners and losers
1L
Current Streak
Consecutive wins (or losses) most recently

The AI publishes a predicted gain for every pick before the window opens. A pick wins when the move reaches that predicted gain inside the window - the prediction did what it said - or when it closes profitable. Held to close is shown beside it as the stricter read: the share still in profit at the window close. Every row keeps its realized close return visible, so a pick that hit its target and then faded shows both facts.

Every pick was published on X (@TradeWave) before the market opened, timestamp and all - check any call against the tape. Educational research, not investment advice. How these numbers are computed: methodology.

Open - Still In the Window

Picks whose seasonal window has not closed yet. One that has already reached its predicted gain counts as a win now - the prediction is proven. The rest are pending and count for nothing until they close.

Windows run roughly 19 to 30 days. Current return is a mid-pattern snapshot, not a result. The peak shows the best paper gain reached so far.

Date Flagged Ticker Direction Days Win Prob Predicted Return Current Return Peak Success
2026-08-20 MU Short 28 84.5% +4.3% +1.0% live +5.7% ✓
2026-08-24 MAS Short 30 78.7% +2.5% +6.2% live +8.3% ✓
2026-08-26 SYK Long 23 81.9% +2.8% -12.6% live +0.6% --
2026-08-28 WY Short 24 78.7% +2.6% +7.2% live +8.0% ✓
2026-09-04 INCY Short 21 84.5% +3.6% +2.8% live +6.3% ✓
2026-09-07 MU Short 30 84.5% +5.1% +8.4% live +11.2% ✓
2026-09-08 AMD Short 30 84.5% +5.5% -8.1% live -0.6% --
2026-09-09 MAS Short 24 84.5% +4.0% +3.1% live +5.3% ✓
2026-09-10 FANG Long 28 84.5% +5.4% -3.5% live +5.3% --
2026-09-11 DXCM Short 22 84.5% +3.6% -4.3% live +1.5% --
2026-09-14 TER Short 24 84.5% +5.1% +9.5% live +14.1% ✓
2026-09-15 KEY Short 30 84.5% +4.8% +3.8% live -- --
2026-09-16 UHS Short 26 78.7% +2.7% -2.5% live -- --

Closed - The Receipts

Resolved windows, scored at the actual close - no peak-cherry-picking. Every row, win (W) or loss (L), is in the win rate above. Click any pick to open the exact pattern it was scored on.

September 2026 3 picks 2W - 1L 67% win +2.1% median
Date Flagged Ticker Direction Days Win Prob Predicted Return Actual Return Peak Success W/L
2026-09-03 NCLH Long 11 84.5% +3.6% -5.5% +1.4% ✗ L
2026-09-02 TSLA Long 13 84.5% +5.1% +0.1% +7.8% ✓ W
2026-09-01 EXPD Long 11 81.9% +3.2% +2.1% +2.2% -- W
August 2026 14 picks 9W - 5L 64% win +3.6% median
Date Flagged Ticker Direction Days Win Prob Predicted Return Actual Return Peak Success W/L
2026-08-31 ORCL Long 10 84.5% +4.6% +1.4% +13.2% ✓ W
2026-08-27 KLAC Short 10 81.9% +2.9% -2.8% +9.1% ✓ W
2026-08-25 MOS Short 15 84.5% +3.8% -9.2% +2.8% ✗ L
2026-08-21 WYNN Long 23 84.5% +3.5% -11.9% +1.9% ✗ L
2026-08-19 JBHT Short 19 84.5% +4.0% +3.0% +10.3% ✓ W
2026-08-18 PANW Long 12 84.5% +5.2% +1.7% +3.1% -- W
2026-08-17 NOW Long 26 84.5% +3.6% +14.8% +20.6% ✓ W
2026-08-12 PWR Long 30 84.5% +3.6% -3.0% +8.1% ✓ W
2026-08-11 AMZN Long 30 84.5% +5.2% -9.4% -1.7% ✗ L
2026-08-10 EPAM Long 30 84.5% +4.6% +17.7% +24.7% ✓ W
2026-08-07 BSX Long 30 84.5% +3.8% -8.8% +7.5% ✓ W
2026-08-06 NVDA Long 19 84.5% +4.5% -2.8% +4.0% ✗ L
2026-08-04 ROST Long 15 84.5% +3.9% -7.2% +1.4% ✗ L
2026-08-03 BR Long 12 84.5% +3.6% +9.0% +14.9% ✓ W
July 2026 26 picks 17W - 9L 65% win +3.4% median
Date Flagged Ticker Direction Days Win Prob Predicted Return Actual Return Peak Success W/L
2026-07-31 PODD Long 30 84.5% +5.3% -10.3% +3.9% ✗ L
2026-07-30 A Long 18 77.5% +2.2% +5.8% +7.1% ✓ W
2026-07-29 EXPD Short 30 81.9% +2.8% -11.4% +4.1% ✓ W
2026-07-28 CBOE Long 21 81.9% +3.4% +0.7% +7.7% ✓ W
2026-07-27 SLB Short 10 81.9% +3.4% +1.7% +7.9% ✓ W
2026-07-24 BAX Short 12 81.9% +3.1% -26.1% -4.3% ✗ L
2026-07-23 APH Long 29 84.5% +3.8% -0.3% +11.9% ✓ W
2026-07-22 VLO Long 18 84.5% +3.8% +0.1% +1.4% -- W
2026-07-21 TMUS Long 12 84.5% +4.2% -7.2% +2.3% ✗ L
2026-07-20 ADM Long 20 84.5% +3.5% -6.3% +2.9% ✗ L
2026-07-19 SWKS Short 20 84.5% +3.9% -15.9% +3.1% ✗ L
2026-07-17 SWK Long 10 84.5% +3.9% +3.1% +3.1% -- W
2026-07-16 ZTS Long 30 84.5% +4.2% -2.1% +7.6% ✓ W
2026-07-15 WDC Short 11 84.5% +3.9% +10.4% +22.5% ✓ W
2026-07-14 BRO Long 26 84.5% +4.2% +3.5% +9.3% ✓ W
2026-07-13 CSGP Long 12 84.5% +5.1% +2.8% +9.2% ✓ W
2026-07-10 ON Long 10 84.5% +4.1% -11.4% -2.4% ✗ L
2026-07-09 KKR Long 16 84.5% +4.7% +8.9% +11.7% ✓ W
2026-07-08 AEE Long 21 84.5% +3.9% -3.9% +0.6% ✗ L
2026-07-07 BX Long 23 84.5% +8.0% +3.8% +9.7% ✓ W
2026-07-06 MS Long 24 84.5% +5.3% -1.8% +8.6% ✓ W
2026-07-05 STLD Long 19 84.5% +6.1% +13.6% +13.8% ✓ W
2026-07-04 EPAM Long 17 84.5% +6.3% -2.4% +3.8% ✗ L
2026-07-03 AMD Long 12 84.5% +5.9% +3.2% +10.9% ✓ W
2026-07-02 NUE Long 23 84.5% +5.6% +13.2% +14.7% ✓ W
2026-07-01 INTC Long 20 84.5% +5.8% -24.5% -6.4% ✗ L
June 2026 20 picks 17W - 3L 85% win +4.9% median
Date Flagged Ticker Direction Days Win Prob Predicted Return Actual Return Peak Success W/L
2026-06-29 RMD Long 30 84.5% +5.7% +7.0% +11.1% ✓ W
2026-06-26 BLDR Long 27 84.5% +6.0% -20.5% +2.5% ✗ L
2026-06-25 BR Long 30 84.5% +5.1% +9.1% +10.7% ✓ W
2026-06-24 MPWR Long 27 84.5% +5.9% -2.8% +6.0% ✓ W
2026-06-23 ALGN Long 30 84.5% +5.7% -3.2% +9.9% ✓ W
2026-06-22 INTU Long 28 84.5% +7.5% +10.0% +13.1% ✓ W
2026-06-19 EPAM Long 30 84.5% +6.6% +16.6% +19.5% ✓ W
2026-06-18 LEN Long 24 84.5% +3.7% -2.6% +11.0% ✓ W
2026-06-17 GNRC Long 29 84.5% +5.2% -18.9% +11.6% ✓ W
2026-06-16 PTC Long 29 84.5% +4.6% +9.2% +11.3% ✓ W
2026-06-15 KKR Long 30 84.5% +4.2% +0.7% +4.2% ✓ W
2026-06-12 AMT Long 28 84.5% +4.5% -12.0% +0.3% ✗ L
2026-06-11 EW Long 29 84.5% +3.9% +8.9% +12.0% ✓ W
2026-06-09 TXT Short 21 84.5% +3.8% +1.4% +6.0% ✓ W
2026-06-08 ORCL Long 29 81.9% +3.1% -32.7% +3.2% ✓ W
2026-06-05 WDC Short 19 84.5% +6.8% -27.3% +16.4% ✓ W
2026-06-04 TSLA Long 20 84.5% +5.7% -4.4% +0.2% ✗ L
2026-06-03 LRCX Short 10 84.5% +4.9% -9.7% +9.5% ✓ W
2026-06-02 TER Short 23 84.5% +4.5% -15.6% +7.9% ✓ W
2026-06-01 AMD Short 23 84.5% +5.5% -6.9% +15.3% ✓ W
May 2026 17 picks 13W - 4L 76% win +4.9% median
Date Flagged Ticker Direction Days Win Prob Predicted Return Actual Return Peak Success W/L
2026-05-29 DXCM Long 26 84.5% +6.3% -4.5% +9.1% ✓ W
2026-05-22 AVGO Long 17 84.5% +4.9% -4.3% +19.4% ✓ W
2026-05-21 TSLA Long 25 84.5% +6.2% +1.7% +10.3% ✓ W
2026-05-20 AXON Long 28 84.5% +5.5% +5.9% +29.1% ✓ W
2026-05-19 INTU Long 30 84.5% +5.4% -33.8% -3.1% ✗ L
2026-05-18 APTV Long 23 84.5% +5.1% +27.5% +44.4% ✓ W
2026-05-15 EXPE Long 24 84.5% +3.4% +4.0% +6.6% ✓ W
2026-05-14 BBY Short 10 84.5% +3.9% -11.0% -0.9% ✗ L
2026-05-13 MU Long 20 84.5% +4.8% +30.2% +23.4% ✓ W
2026-05-12 GNRC Long 29 84.5% +6.2% -2.0% +8.4% ✓ W
2026-05-11 SMCI Long 25 84.5% +9.1% +17.7% +41.4% ✓ W
2026-05-08 MPWR Long 28 84.5% +4.6% -10.4% +3.7% ✗ L
2026-05-07 NOW Long 19 84.5% +6.3% +8.6% +20.4% ✓ W
2026-05-06 BX Long 30 84.5% +4.7% -6.0% +1.9% ✗ L
2026-05-05 TER Long 24 81.9% +2.8% +13.4% +15.7% ✓ W
2026-05-04 ON Long 29 84.5% +3.7% +17.4% +25.3% ✓ W
2026-05-01 AMD Long 30 84.5% +6.7% +51.3% +56.4% ✓ W
April 2026 19 picks 15W - 4L 79% win +4.4% median
Date Flagged Ticker Direction Days Win Prob Predicted Return Actual Return Peak Success W/L
2026-04-30 AVGO Long 27 84.5% +6.4% +5.5% +10.6% ✓ W
2026-04-29 NCLH Short 22 84.5% +5.8% +18.7% +16.7% ✓ W
2026-04-28 LRCX Long 29 84.5% +3.9% +22.9% +28.5% ✓ W
2026-04-27 NVDA Long 30 84.5% +5.6% +2.1% +13.6% ✓ W
2026-04-24 FITB Short 25 84.5% +3.7% +5.8% +2.1% -- W
2026-04-23 BEN Short 13 81.9% +3.4% -13.3% +3.3% ✗ L
2026-04-22 EXPD Long 20 84.5% +4.0% +3.4% +0.9% -- W
2026-04-21 PCG Short 29 84.5% +3.6% +6.0% +5.6% ✓ W
2026-04-20 NXPI Long 30 84.5% +5.0% +43.6% +13.5% ✓ W
2026-04-17 ALB Long 30 84.5% +6.3% -18.5% -6.5% ✗ L
2026-04-16 MCK Long 30 84.5% +4.3% -10.1% +1.2% ✗ L
2026-04-10 CAH Short 27 83.7% +6.1% +13.9% +8.4% ✓ W
2026-04-09 SPGI Short 28 83.7% +5.7% +0.3% +5.0% -- W
2026-04-08 PHM Long 26 83.7% +5.8% -3.9% +11.1% ✓ W
2026-04-07 CSGP Long 21 83.7% +6.5% -12.0% -0.1% ✗ L
2026-04-06 FCX Long 12 83.7% +6.2% +14.4% +15.2% ✓ W
2026-04-03 TT Long 28 84.5% +4.4% +13.9% +15.6% ✓ W
2026-04-02 HAS Long 25 84.5% +4.2% +1.2% +4.7% ✓ W
2026-04-01 AXP Long 19 84.5% +4.8% +10.9% +14.3% ✓ W
March 2026 10 picks 6W - 4L 60% win +4.0% median
Date Flagged Ticker Direction Days Win Prob Predicted Return Actual Return Peak Success W/L
2026-03-31 UAL Short 12 84.5% +7.7% -13.1% -1.7% ✗ L
2026-03-30 EQT Long 27 84.5% +10.5% -12.8% -2.9% ✗ L
2026-03-27 EME Long 29 84.5% +5.3% +13.8% +15.3% ✓ W
2026-03-26 NUE Long 19 84.5% +4.0% +14.8% +14.7% ✓ W
2026-03-24 J Long 29 84.5% +4.7% -0.3% +2.4% ✗ L
2026-03-23 EOG Long 26 84.5% +5.7% -7.4% +8.6% ✓ W
2026-03-20 NOC Long 30 84.5% +4.2% -8.2% -2.2% ✗ L
2026-03-19 FTNT Long 21 84.5% +4.7% +0.7% +3.6% -- W
2026-03-18 COP Long 28 84.5% +4.9% +1.9% +12.0% ✓ W
2026-03-17 NEM Long 29 84.5% +7.0% +5.7% +10.7% ✓ W
See today's full seasonal analysis

TradeWave is a research platform. It is not a brokerage and does not execute trades. All data is based on historical analysis and is provided for informational and educational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Trading and investing involve substantial risk of loss.